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KMID : 0355419990230030301
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Journal of Korean Academy of Oral Health
1999 Volume.23 No. 3 p.301 ~ p.315
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The supply and demand projection of dentists and the evaluation of its appropriateness
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1최은영/1Eun Young Choi
1조재국/1김진수/2문혁수/1Jae Gook Jo/1Jin Soo Kim/2Hyock Soo Moon
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Abstract
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-Abstract-
The purpose of this study was to examine the supply and demand of dentists till the
year 2012 and to give the recommendations for making the proper policy of the supply
and demand of dentists. To evaluate the supply of dentists, the baseline projection and
demographic methods were employed. The derivative demand was used for forecasting
the demand of dentists.
The results of this study provide us the valuable information for the manpower planning
of dentists for the 21th century. Specifically, the results indicate that the surplus of
dentist will be increased with increasing rate until the year 2012. Regardless of the
methods for forecasting demand of dentists, the emprirical results present that the
number of surplus of dentsists will reached at the level between 2000 to 3000 in the
year 2002 and 4000 to 6000 in the year 2012.
The results of this study suggest as follows: First, it is necessary to establish the
effcient management system of the qualifying examination for the foreign educated
dentists. Second, for the quality control of dentists, the improvement of the education
and the training system is needed.
The further studies should include these recommendations and investigate how the
expansion of the expansion of insurance benefits influences on the demand of dentists.
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